Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
Live
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Back to Players
Crown Green Handicap

Paul Heller

Team: Bromborough Pool BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

669

Current Handicap

13
Honours
Season:

29

Matches Played

8

Wins

21

Losses

28%

Win Rate

6.0

Avg Win Margin

8.4

Avg Loss Margin

7-7

Home Record

1-14

Away Record

77%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
29 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/6/2026

A solid recent sample: 29 of 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 29 matches

+13 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

6 May11 Jun22 Jul30 Apr19 May10 Jun7 Jul6 Aug-14916

Gives 13 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current13
Win Percentage(35%)
28%
score-0.45→contribution-0.16
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
6.0
score-0.33→contribution-0.08
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.4
score-0.06→contribution-0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(15%)
811
score-0.67→contribution-0.10
Weighted Score-0.392
Sample Size Confidence
77%(29/33 matches)
Rating843 → shrunk 879→ adjusted 679
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)653
Recency Blend39% (29 recent matches)
Final Rating669
Handicap
13

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

8W21L29 matches·27.6% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Bromborough Pool B2025–2026Division C2982127.6%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/6/2026Karen DunnH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision C
7/29/2026Dave HillA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/28/2026John BuckleyH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
7/15/2026Ian ProctorA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
7/7/2026George LowdenA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
7/2/2026Mark HughesA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
6/23/2026Bill DowH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
6/16/2026Michael OMahonyH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
6/10/2026David JonesA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
6/9/2026Ian RobertsH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
6/4/2026John BakerA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
5/28/2026Paul HarrisH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
5/19/2026John BonifaceH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
5/14/2026Deryn AtkinsonA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
5/12/2026Ethan MarksH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
5/5/2026Julie MccreadieH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
4/30/2026Lynn BaileyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
8/5/2025John BonifaceH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
7/29/2025Rita SimpsonH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
7/24/2025Eric MahoneyA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/22/2025Paul BlackwellH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
7/15/2025Andrew GreenA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/8/2025Keith MarksA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
7/1/2025Tony McdonoughH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
6/11/2025vs Pensby DA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
6/10/2025Paul BlackwellA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/4/2025vs Pensby CA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision C
5/22/2025vs Pensby CH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
5/6/2025Hayley JonesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 0W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Semi Final RoundLynn BaileyPensby D12-21LOSSWON

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
WLLLL
Last 1030% win rate— steady
WLLLLLLWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
John Boniface0220%5/19/2026
Paul Blackwell11250%7/22/2025
Pensby C11250%6/4/2025
Karen Dunn101100%8/6/2026
Dave Hill0110%7/29/2026
John Buckley0110%7/28/2026
Ian Proctor0110%7/15/2026
George Lowden0110%7/7/2026
Mark Hughes0110%7/2/2026
Bill Dow0110%6/23/2026
Biggest Win
Karen Dunn (+13)8/6/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-19)6/4/2025
Best Season
202629% · 17 matches
Worst Season
202525% · 12 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
29% → 27%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
79026 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
7-1729% win rate
Division C27.6%
8W·21L·29 played

Debut

May 6, 2025

Latest

Aug 6, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (1.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.5 (29 total)

Seasons

20252026